Monday, January 5, 2015

"Canada Homebuyers Joining Real Estate Doubters"

Following up on yesterday's "Oil & The Looming Canadian Housing Bubble Crash".

From Bloomberg:
Canadians who last year brushed off predictions of a real estate slowdown and kept buying houses are increasingly joining the doubters.

The nation’s households are the least optimistic since May 2013 that home prices will keep rising, according to weekly polling data compiled by Nanos Research for Bloomberg. The share of survey respondents predicting higher prices fell to 31.1 percent last week, from as high as 47 percent in July.

The survey results suggest policy-maker warnings about overvalued home prices are starting to sink in, amplified by plunging prices for crude oil, the nation’s biggest export. The gloom may spell the end of a housing rally that helped pull the world’s 11th largest economy out of a 2009 recession.

“Any negative changes in real estate values coupled with low oil prices could be a one-two punch for Canadian consumer sentiment,” said Nik Nanos, Ottawa-based chairman of Nanos Research Group.
The Bank of Canada estimates that house prices are 10 percent to 30 percent overvalued. That didn’t stop sales and prices from rising through most of 2014, fueled by low mortgage rates and a shortage of single-family housing in some markets such as Vancouver, where the average price of a detached home reached a record C$1.36 million ($1.15 million) in February....MORE