Wednesday, May 13, 2015

"Crude Pumps & Dumps After Inventory Draw Slows & Production Rises"

We have had amazing amounts of hot (amateur) money come into oil. Hot money is nervous money and liable to run at the first whisper of a change of direction. Front futures $60.85 up a dime and down exactly $1.00 from the day's high.

One quick note: ZH says the pull from inventory is slowing. Now every first year geometer knows that all you need to draw a line are two points but if you call those two points a trendline you are apt to lose money.

From ZeroHedge:
Following API's data lastnight, DOE reported a 2.19 million barrel draw (more than expected) this week, crude oil prices immediately extended gains. However, that ramp quickly faded once it set in that the draw was actually notably lower than last week's. For some context, this leaves the total inventory still a near record 30% above average for this time of year. Prices were also not helped as total crude production rose modestly WoW.

2nd weekly draw in a row but it's slowing...
Some context...
And production rose WoW...
Oil prices spiked then dumped on priduction news...

Charts: bloomberg